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WORLD CUP 2026CALL BSTHE SCOREBOARDCountdown to accountability

Where bold claims meet cold deadlines.

145 bold claims. 11 deadlines passed. 10 were wrong.

CALL BS ON A MATE →
FEATUREDAI/TECH

“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”

— Dario Amodei

627
DAYS
:
01
HRS
:
26
MIN
:
28
SEC
60%YEAH RIGHT
63 votes
IT'S ON40%
THE SCOREBOARDVIEW ALL
#1100%

Elon Musk

1 wrong

#2100%

Standard Chartered / Various Analysts

1 wrong

#3100%

Christopher Luxon

1 wrong

#488%

Donald Trump

7 wrong

CLOSING SOONNEXT 30 DAYS

“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”

9d left

— Donald Trump

53%
47%
AI/TECH
56%

“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”

— Gary Marcus

TREND
627d 01h 26m 28s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
48%

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”

— Sam Altman

TREND
1012d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

POLITICS
53%

“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”

— Donald Trump

8d 01h 26m 28s

“Yeah, right” is Aussie/Kiwi slang for “I don't believe you.” Vote YEAH RIGHT if you think a claim is BS, or IT'S ON if you reckon it'll actually happen.

EXPIRED
POLITICSEXPIRED
87%

“A whole civilization will die tonight”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 87%86 votesIT'S ON 13%
POLITICSEXPIRED
81%

“48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 81%80 votesIT'S ON 19%
POLITICSEXPIRED
89%

“48 hours before all Hell will reign down”

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
78%

“The US economy will be the strongest it has ever been”

— Donald Trump

281d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
77%

“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”

— Donald Trump / Xi Jinping

TREND
210d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
81%

“Tariffs will bring prices down for American families”

— Donald Trump

293d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

SPORTS
61%

“Both NZ and Australia will finish 2nd in their World Cup groups”

— The Trans-Tasman Dream

73d 01h 26m 28s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
87%

“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”

— World Economic Forum

TREND
262d 01h 26m 28s

Think it'll happen?

POLITICS
81%

“DOGE will save $2 trillion in government spending”

— Elon Musk

81d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
80%

“Section 122 tariffs expire (150-day legal limit)”

— US Government

TREND
97d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
53%

“AGI probably three to five years away”

— Demis Hassabis

TREND
1372d 01h 26m 29s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
77%

“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”

— Gartner

TREND
262d 01h 26m 28s

Think it'll happen?

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 89%80 votesIT'S ON 11%
POLITICSEXPIRED
80%

“Pausing energy plant destruction for 10 days”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%30 votesIT'S ON 20%
CULTUREEXPIRED
80%

“100% tariff on movies made outside the US”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%20 votesIT'S ON 20%
CRYPTOEXPIRED
100%

“Bitcoin to $200K by end of 2025”

— Standard Chartered / Various Analysts

YEAH RIGHT 100%20 votesIT'S ON 0%
POLITICSEXPIRED
55%

“Mexico will pay for the wall”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 55%20 votesIT'S ON 45%
AI/TECHEXPIRED
90%

“Full Self-Driving "next year" (every year since 2014)”

— Elon Musk

YEAH RIGHT 90%20 votesIT'S ON 10%
POLITICSEXPIRED
90%

“Deal with China in 30 days (2025)”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 90%20 votesIT'S ON 10%
POLITICSEXPIRED
80%

“Ending the Russia-Ukraine war quickly”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%20 votesIT'S ON 20%
POLITICSEXPIRED
73%

“Quarterly action plans to drive government focus”

— Christopher Luxon

YEAH RIGHT 73%15 votesIT'S ON 27%